Baseball 2007
Here we are, just days away from the start of another baseball season. I have to say I was super excited about the upcoming season... a month ago when spring training started. Now I am just neurotic. Watching your team go through its worst Grapefruit League season in franchise history will do that to you. Of course, I do know these games don't count, but right now I have to convince myself that we're better than this. We are better than this, we are better than this... sorry, I was getting off track there...
By "we", I of course refer to my New York Mets, defending champions of the National League East, and almost-champions of the National League but for Yadier F*@#ing Molina and a home run ball that even Endy Chavez couldn't catch. Hopes were high going into spring training that this was going to be just like 1986 all over again; last year we knocked at the door only to have the Cardinals stop us, and this year we kick the door down. There were questions about the starting pitching, but we seemed pretty set elsewhere. Since then, the starting pitching has actually rounded itself out quite nicely; John Maine, Oliver Perez, and Mike Pelfrey have been shaky at times but overall pretty solid, especially the last two in that group.
The bullpen, our pride and joy, has undergone some changes but looks pretty good. We still have Billy Wagner, but Aaron Heilman (the pitcher who gave up the Molina homer) is going to have to setup again, and he has elbow tendinitis. Duaner Sanchez is out until August with lingering effects from his car accident last year. With Chad Bradford gone, rookie Joe Smith joins Pedro Feliciano as our righty/lefty tag team, and that's in good shape. Scott Schoenweis is a solid addition to the pen. Other than that... I have no freakin' clue who else could come out of our bullpen and be effective. Jon Adkins, who we got from San Diego in an offseason deal, has been horrible. They started him for some reason today against the Braves... after 1/2 inning, 5-0 Atlanta. Chan Ho Park was brought in to challenge for the 5th starter job. When he failed miserably at that, they decided to try him in the pen... and he promptly blew a 2-run lead the other night. And the rest of those vying for these last couple spots all have unfamiliar names and spring ERAs hovering around 9. This more than anything is why we sport a 10-20 preseason record.
The lineup has some holes as well. Shawn Green and free-agent acquisition Moises Alou are both showing their age, and it may not be long before Lastings Milledge is starting in at least a platoon role. And then there's the decision to move David Wright to SECOND in the batting order. Here's someone who knocked in well over 100 runs last year, and you're taking away his chance to do that. His fantasy value PLUMMETED with this move, and the jury is out on whether this will translate into big early leads with a shaky Alou and Green now hitting behind Carlos Delgado instead of Wright.
Now to the rest of baseball... and we start in the Mets' division, the NL East. Jimmy Rollins popped off to the media and declared that the Phillies were the team to beat in the division. Oh, that's so cute, Jimmy... you actually think you have a CHANCE. That became bulletin board material for the Mets for the entire season. Sure the Mets appear to have their flaws, but there were question marks last year as well. The Mets win the East by 10 games again. PERIOD. The Phillies do have an exciting young team, but where the Mets have solid veteran leaders like Delgado, Carlos Beltran, and Paul LoDuca, the Phillies have... a sulking Pat Burrell. The Braves are not who they used to be, and they lost more than they gained in the offseason. They will battle Florida for 3rd, and if former Mets coach Manny Acta does a better-than-expected job in Washington, it could be a 3-way race to avoid the cellar in the East.
The National League Central is exciting, because on paper, everyone has a chance in this division... except the Pirates. Sorry, Pittsburgh. The Cardinals did win it all last year... but they also won only 83 games in the regular season. The Cards will need more offense around Albert Pujols, including a healthy Scott Rolen, and their pitching is shaky after Chris Carpenter. The Cubs are right back in it this year after finishing last in '06. Adding Lou Piniella as manager and then getting Alfonso Soriano and re-signing Aramis Ramirez were bold moves. The pitching is thin after Carlos Zambrano, however. Milwaukee has a great young nucleus forming with Bill Hall, Prince Fielder, Rickie Weeks, and Kevin Mench. If Ben Sheets stays healthy, he joins Chris Capuano and Dave Bush in a decent rotation, plus Francisco Cordero (acquired from Texas with Mench for Carlos Lee) is a lights-out closer. Speaking of Lee, he's now in Houston, and with him and Berkman together in the lineup, the Astros might finally have an offense befitting their homer-friendly ballpark. They'll need it with a pitching staff that will miss the departed Andy Pettitte and Roger Clemens and will hold its breath every time Brad Lidge comes in to close. Cincinnati looks pretty good as well with Adam Dunn and Brandon Phillips leading the way. The Pirates are a year away from contending at this point. They acquired Adam LaRoche from Atlanta in a virtual steal, and when Freddy Sanchez returns from his knee problems, Jason Bay will have a solid lineup surrounding him. The pitching is young and questionable, and that dooms them to the cellar again. If they can keep this team together a couple years, good things can happen, although that does require Pittsburgh to SPEND MONEY.
Over in the West, it's the Dodgers' pennant to lose. They have the horses, but the horses have to stay healthy (especially Nomar and Brad Penny). The D-Backs have Brandon Webb, an aging Randy Johnson, and some good young hitters, but I just don't see them contending. The Padres will try to win their 3rd straight NL West with 40-somethings Greg Maddux and David Wells backing up Jake Peavy in the rotation and continued good things from Adrian Gonzalez and Mike Cameron, but they fall short. Colorado has an explosive young lineup with Garrett Atkins, Matt Holliday, and Brad Hawpe... but it's Colorado so naturally they have no pitching. The Giants will finish dead-last in a rebuilding year where the only drama will be whether or not the fans will boo if Barry Bonds hits #756 on the road.
I'm a National League guy, so I spend more time on them than the AL. I'll run you through the Junior Circuit quickly... in the East, the Yankees and Red Sox will battle to the wire again with their sky-high payrolls and their prominent Japanese pitching additions. Toronto again is relegated to 3rd but they could contend well into September. Tampa Bay continues to improve, and this may be the year Baltimore loses 100 games and the last 10 Orioles fans decide to give up until Peter Angelos is gone.
In the Central, Detroit is even better than last year with their young pitchers boasting more experience and the addition of Gary Sheffield. Minnesota will be there at the end if they can find a new 2nd to Johann Santana while Francisco Liriano sits out the year. Chicago is shaky; they got a lot of career years from their offense last year and their pitching faded in the 2nd half. Cleveland could have a bounce-back year if they get a bounce-back year from C.C. Sabathia and a healthy Cliff Lee. Kansas City... still has a major league franchise. That's about all I can say that's good about them.
In the West, Seattle could turn some heads and win the division. If there's a trendy darkhorse to pick this year, it's the Mariners with Jeff Weaver and Felix Hernandez in the rotation and a veteran lineup. The Angels, Oakland, and Texas all could have good years and win the flag as well, but the Angels and A's have star pitchers trying to rebound from injuries (Bartolo Colon and Rich Harden), and Texas needs Hank Blalock to return to form to join Texeira and Young to form a good hitting attack.
As for the postseason... well I'd like to say the Mets will win it all, but I'm too busy repeating my mantra right now... we're better than this... we're better than this...
I'll check back with you in October.
By "we", I of course refer to my New York Mets, defending champions of the National League East, and almost-champions of the National League but for Yadier F*@#ing Molina and a home run ball that even Endy Chavez couldn't catch. Hopes were high going into spring training that this was going to be just like 1986 all over again; last year we knocked at the door only to have the Cardinals stop us, and this year we kick the door down. There were questions about the starting pitching, but we seemed pretty set elsewhere. Since then, the starting pitching has actually rounded itself out quite nicely; John Maine, Oliver Perez, and Mike Pelfrey have been shaky at times but overall pretty solid, especially the last two in that group.
The bullpen, our pride and joy, has undergone some changes but looks pretty good. We still have Billy Wagner, but Aaron Heilman (the pitcher who gave up the Molina homer) is going to have to setup again, and he has elbow tendinitis. Duaner Sanchez is out until August with lingering effects from his car accident last year. With Chad Bradford gone, rookie Joe Smith joins Pedro Feliciano as our righty/lefty tag team, and that's in good shape. Scott Schoenweis is a solid addition to the pen. Other than that... I have no freakin' clue who else could come out of our bullpen and be effective. Jon Adkins, who we got from San Diego in an offseason deal, has been horrible. They started him for some reason today against the Braves... after 1/2 inning, 5-0 Atlanta. Chan Ho Park was brought in to challenge for the 5th starter job. When he failed miserably at that, they decided to try him in the pen... and he promptly blew a 2-run lead the other night. And the rest of those vying for these last couple spots all have unfamiliar names and spring ERAs hovering around 9. This more than anything is why we sport a 10-20 preseason record.
The lineup has some holes as well. Shawn Green and free-agent acquisition Moises Alou are both showing their age, and it may not be long before Lastings Milledge is starting in at least a platoon role. And then there's the decision to move David Wright to SECOND in the batting order. Here's someone who knocked in well over 100 runs last year, and you're taking away his chance to do that. His fantasy value PLUMMETED with this move, and the jury is out on whether this will translate into big early leads with a shaky Alou and Green now hitting behind Carlos Delgado instead of Wright.
Now to the rest of baseball... and we start in the Mets' division, the NL East. Jimmy Rollins popped off to the media and declared that the Phillies were the team to beat in the division. Oh, that's so cute, Jimmy... you actually think you have a CHANCE. That became bulletin board material for the Mets for the entire season. Sure the Mets appear to have their flaws, but there were question marks last year as well. The Mets win the East by 10 games again. PERIOD. The Phillies do have an exciting young team, but where the Mets have solid veteran leaders like Delgado, Carlos Beltran, and Paul LoDuca, the Phillies have... a sulking Pat Burrell. The Braves are not who they used to be, and they lost more than they gained in the offseason. They will battle Florida for 3rd, and if former Mets coach Manny Acta does a better-than-expected job in Washington, it could be a 3-way race to avoid the cellar in the East.
The National League Central is exciting, because on paper, everyone has a chance in this division... except the Pirates. Sorry, Pittsburgh. The Cardinals did win it all last year... but they also won only 83 games in the regular season. The Cards will need more offense around Albert Pujols, including a healthy Scott Rolen, and their pitching is shaky after Chris Carpenter. The Cubs are right back in it this year after finishing last in '06. Adding Lou Piniella as manager and then getting Alfonso Soriano and re-signing Aramis Ramirez were bold moves. The pitching is thin after Carlos Zambrano, however. Milwaukee has a great young nucleus forming with Bill Hall, Prince Fielder, Rickie Weeks, and Kevin Mench. If Ben Sheets stays healthy, he joins Chris Capuano and Dave Bush in a decent rotation, plus Francisco Cordero (acquired from Texas with Mench for Carlos Lee) is a lights-out closer. Speaking of Lee, he's now in Houston, and with him and Berkman together in the lineup, the Astros might finally have an offense befitting their homer-friendly ballpark. They'll need it with a pitching staff that will miss the departed Andy Pettitte and Roger Clemens and will hold its breath every time Brad Lidge comes in to close. Cincinnati looks pretty good as well with Adam Dunn and Brandon Phillips leading the way. The Pirates are a year away from contending at this point. They acquired Adam LaRoche from Atlanta in a virtual steal, and when Freddy Sanchez returns from his knee problems, Jason Bay will have a solid lineup surrounding him. The pitching is young and questionable, and that dooms them to the cellar again. If they can keep this team together a couple years, good things can happen, although that does require Pittsburgh to SPEND MONEY.
Over in the West, it's the Dodgers' pennant to lose. They have the horses, but the horses have to stay healthy (especially Nomar and Brad Penny). The D-Backs have Brandon Webb, an aging Randy Johnson, and some good young hitters, but I just don't see them contending. The Padres will try to win their 3rd straight NL West with 40-somethings Greg Maddux and David Wells backing up Jake Peavy in the rotation and continued good things from Adrian Gonzalez and Mike Cameron, but they fall short. Colorado has an explosive young lineup with Garrett Atkins, Matt Holliday, and Brad Hawpe... but it's Colorado so naturally they have no pitching. The Giants will finish dead-last in a rebuilding year where the only drama will be whether or not the fans will boo if Barry Bonds hits #756 on the road.
I'm a National League guy, so I spend more time on them than the AL. I'll run you through the Junior Circuit quickly... in the East, the Yankees and Red Sox will battle to the wire again with their sky-high payrolls and their prominent Japanese pitching additions. Toronto again is relegated to 3rd but they could contend well into September. Tampa Bay continues to improve, and this may be the year Baltimore loses 100 games and the last 10 Orioles fans decide to give up until Peter Angelos is gone.
In the Central, Detroit is even better than last year with their young pitchers boasting more experience and the addition of Gary Sheffield. Minnesota will be there at the end if they can find a new 2nd to Johann Santana while Francisco Liriano sits out the year. Chicago is shaky; they got a lot of career years from their offense last year and their pitching faded in the 2nd half. Cleveland could have a bounce-back year if they get a bounce-back year from C.C. Sabathia and a healthy Cliff Lee. Kansas City... still has a major league franchise. That's about all I can say that's good about them.
In the West, Seattle could turn some heads and win the division. If there's a trendy darkhorse to pick this year, it's the Mariners with Jeff Weaver and Felix Hernandez in the rotation and a veteran lineup. The Angels, Oakland, and Texas all could have good years and win the flag as well, but the Angels and A's have star pitchers trying to rebound from injuries (Bartolo Colon and Rich Harden), and Texas needs Hank Blalock to return to form to join Texeira and Young to form a good hitting attack.
As for the postseason... well I'd like to say the Mets will win it all, but I'm too busy repeating my mantra right now... we're better than this... we're better than this...
I'll check back with you in October.
