Here's My Picks... and a Commentary
If we learned anything from last Sunday's Malaise at the Meadowlands that was the Kickoff Classic, it is that here are the improvements the Syracuse Orangemen have made from 2000 to 2001... NONE. If anything, we've gone backwards. Once again, we burned all of our first-half timeouts in the early going. Once again, we were forced to depend on a woozy Troy Nunes and his pop-gun arm. Once again, we stacked up enough flags to keep the NYC area laundromats busy for weeks. I was one of the last holdout Pasqualoni-backers, but even I know bad coaching when I see it. Here is the main difference between Coach P and the man he replaced, Dick MacPherson: Coach Mac would've looked at the last two years and taken the blame for what took place. He would have told the press that he thought the team was more like the Orangemen we saw in the first half of 1999, when SU was one bone-headed Nunes reverse scramble away from 6-0, and not the mess of a team that has gone 8-10 since. Mac would've been upset at his team, and would have told the press that he and they need to improve. What did Pasqualoni do? He closed preseason camp to the media. Which I must say is usually the last desperate tactic employed by a coach who knows he's about to get whacked.
One can only hope in the case of Pasqualoni. We should have seen it coming; these habits have shown themselves all the way back to the Miami showdown in 1992. Why did Chris Gedney wind up on his back on the Miami 3-yard line with no time left and SU's outside shot at a national championship dead? Because we had blown two timeouts earlier in the half, and had one left when the final drive started. We then called that timeout to allow Marvin Graves to go to the sideline and upchuck. But I digress...
One year ago on this same patch of cyberspace, I gave a breakdown of the SU quarterback situation, and said that Troy Nunes was the best candidate for the job. I now realize how slim the pickings were by comparison. Chad Elliott flunked out, Madei Williams transferred, and R.J. Anderson hobbled around on a bad knee and threw interceptions while we heard OrangeFan preach about how he was the savior. R.J. was thrown out there as a redshirt freshman; at least he had a year to digest the playbook (as did Michael Vick at Virginia Tech, by the way). What makes you think, OrangeFan, that Cecil Howard will figure it out in one month as a true freshman? On the other hand, there is the argument that if we are to truly believe that this is indeed a rebuilding year and a lost cause from the start, then what is the harm in starting Howard and letting him take his knocks and learn on the job? This similar tactic was used on a troika of QBs named McPherson, Graves, and MacNabb, and they turned out all right. The idea in a rebuilding year is to try new things (besides all that dumb shifting) and put new younger people in to fix what's wrong, not instead to have the same players making the same mistakes.
This should be considered an insult to the defense, as it is among the best in the nation, with Dwight Freeney causing havoc for opposing QBs and Clifton Smith, Mark Holtzman, J.R. Johnson, and Co. stuffing the run. I even like how that Gaechlin kid looked in the Georgia Tech game, so they're certainly deep in the front seven. Actually, this has been taken as an insult, as one defensive starter (rumor has it that it was Freeney) took issue with the offensive playcalling following the Tech debacle. Not a good sign.
And then there is the kicking situation. I don't know about you, but every time I see Mike Shafer trotting out to try another PAT or field goal, I roll my eyes and fear the inevitable. He didn't disappoint last Sunday, either, as he blew a chip shot field goal and barely made a point after, which he appeared to kick at a 90 degree angle. If he isn't replaced soon, Pasqualoni should be fired for that alone.
So what is the ultimate result of all this? I say 4-8. This doesn't mean that I will not be watching every Saturday, and I won't be rooting for SU to lose (like some people). I have noted in the past that you have to support your team regardless of whether they're good or not, regardless of the heartache that may cause. I still don't believe we deserve a national championship coach or team, but it is clear that improvement is needed here.
At this point, I switch over to the one SU that will likely finish with a winning record this year, that being my alma mater, Susquehanna University. The schedule doesn't start off too easy; apparently Syracuse and Susquehanna use the same schedule makers, because while the Orangemen get #10 Georgia Tech and #8 Tennessee, the Crusaders get to open with two Top 25 teams in Western Maryland and Lycoming. Now, the Westminster road trip is tough enough to start off; the Green Terror are considered a threat to win it all in D-III, but why open the MAC and home schedules with your biggest rival? The game for Stagg's Hat should be at the end of the season, like any other big rivalry game. This has the same potential effect that Florida-Tennessee has every year, that being that one really good team's season gets killed on the third weekend of September, and then you have 8 more games to play. It's even harder this year, as the MAC is one league now, and so the competition is for that 2nd-place finish and the NCAA at-large entry that goes with it. The league title has been handed to last year's national runner-up, Widener, so take that for what it's worth. The two top competitors for that 2nd-place finish are SU and Lyco, and they face off September 15 at Lopardo Stadium. Oh well, nothing you can do about it, I s'pose.
The offensive is high-powered with Mike Bowman back for a 3rd year as the starting QB and his good buddy Mark Bartosic there to catch the passes and perhaps put up another 1000-yard receiving season. However, with a lack of experience in the running game, there's a chance that the offense could become one-dimensional, and unless Bowman suddenly put on 25 pounds (likely answer there being NO), it could be bad for his health. The D still has Troy Sosnovik and Antonio Nash and Dom DeSteno, but this is still the unit that gave up almost 120 points over a three-game span late last year. With the Western Marylands and Lycos and Wideners on the schedule, Tim Briggs better be helping his brother the head coach out a little or this could be a long year in Selinsgrove. It could be worse, though; Wilkes is the only MAC team that SU won't face this year, and they are also a contender for that NCAA at-large berth, along with upstarts King's and Lebanon Valley. If the Crusaders emerge from those first two battles at 1-1 (hopefully the win coming over Lyco), they have a good shot at contending. It may all come down to November 10 (and not just because that is my birthday), when Leb Valley comes to town with two straight upset wins over SU under their belts. I will keep my expectations low, however, and say 7-3.
Now, as I did last year, I will take a guess as to how my high school alma mater, West Genesee, will do. After going 3-6 and 2-6 in '99 and 2000, respectively, Dave Mancuso's on the hot seat, whether he wants to be or not. The defense was the best in Class AA last year despite the bad record, and if they continue to hold up that way, it should give second-year starting QB Eric Cizenski a chance to settle in and contribute. He looked good at times last year, but spotty at others. Experience may be the key, but with the opener against Corcoran coming on the turf at P&C Stadium, it'll be an uphill climb to sectionals. Just like last year, I will say 4-3 and the post-season drought finally ends, now at 13 years (lucky 13, no less).
One last note (the "commentary" I refer to in this week's title)... as much as I don't wish to do this, the guy who was Most School Spirited in the class of 1996 has to let West Genny have it over this new policy barring freshmen from playing varsity sports. The team this most affects is the basketball team, where Jerry Wilcox has built the program around promising freshmen. This is probably the sport where the parents complained the most and provided the impetus for this new rule to be created; god forbid a promising and talented freshman be blocked from playing on varsity because a lesser talented upperclassman deserves the spot on the roster because, well, he played two years on JV, he earned it. I will say this again, WGParent, YOU DON'T DESERVE ANYTHING!!! If the freshman is better and has more long-term potential, sorry but that's just the way it is. This is political correctness gone mad, and a move that I fear will only cause a local Hall of Famer to call it quits and take the program's success with him.
Labels: college football
